GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brasiliense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.5 against 50.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuverdenseWLDWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrasilienseDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuverdenseBrasiliense
33.3Attack30.6
66.7Defence69.4
50.0Form41.7
51.5Power50.3
0.66xG0.55
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