Luverdensevs
Brasiliense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brasiliense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.5 against 50.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60