Luunjavs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 4/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Luunja are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
6.7%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20