GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Luunja 2-5 Levadia U19

Original prediction

Luunja

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1242.2%44.0%1.8 pts
Draw4.1121.8%18.1%-3.8 pts
Away2.5035.9%37.9%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–36%
  2. 2.3–26%
  3. 3.2–36%

Predicted outcome

Luunja

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuunjaLLDDD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Levadia U19WWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LuunjaLevadia U19
85.3Attack80.0
36.0Defence44.0
58.7Form62.7
57.9Power60.6
3.26xG3.02
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