GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/10/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Luunja are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Johvi Phoenix are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luunja

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuunjaWLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Johvi PhoenixW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 5.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
LuunjaJohvi Phoenix
88.4Attack72.5
37.7Defence24.6
63.8Form50.7
61.0Power50.6
4.50xG2.57
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