Lutonvs
Stockport County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 4/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Luton are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stockport County are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Luton hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Luton holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luton
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Luton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80