Lutonvs
Notts County
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luton 2-2 Notts County
Original prediction
Luton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Luton
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Luton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LutonWWLWD
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Notts CountyDDDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LutonNotts County
100.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
72.0Power45.3
1.67xG1.19