LutonvsNorthampton

Luton are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Luton hold a 42.2-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Luton holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.