LutonvsExeter City

Luton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Exeter City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Luton hold a 53.8-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 17.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Luton holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.