Lusitânia Lourosavs
AVS
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 AVS
Original prediction
AVS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.5% | 31.6% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.0% | 29.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.6% | 39.2% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lusitânia LourosaWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AVSWDDLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Lusitânia LourosaAVS
16.7Attack49.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form62.7
42.7Power61.4
0.85xG1.31