Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202609:00Updated today
Lusitânia Lourosa

Lusitânia Lourosa

Home
L
vs
09:00
Arouca

Arouca

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arouca33%
Lusitânia Lourosa33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Lusitânia Lourosa
33%
Draw
33%
Arouca
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lusitânia Lourosa
9
Arouca
94
Defence
Lusitânia Lourosa
66
Arouca
66
Momentum
Lusitânia Lourosa
0
Arouca
100
Danger (xG)
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.00
Arouca
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Lusitânia Lourosa)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Arouca)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Lusitânia Lourosa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Arouca)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
L
AroucaArouca
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Lusitânia Lourosa33%
Draw33%
Arouca33%

Arouca leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lusitânia Lourosa head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Arouca arrive in decent form (WW). Lusitânia Lourosa have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Arouca over 2 games.

Tactically, Arouca hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid Lusitânia Lourosa defence (66/100), while Lusitânia Lourosa's attack faces a solid Arouca backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Lusitânia Lourosa have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Arouca have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Lusitânia Lourosa and Arouca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Lusitânia Lourosa 3333%, Draw 3333%, Arouca 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Lusitânia Lourosa

Lusitânia Lourosa

L
@ Famalicao
15 Jul 2026
01
Arouca

Arouca

W
vs Tondela
16 May 2026
31
W
@ GIL Vicente
11 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more