Lusitano Évora 1911vs
Oliveirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lusitano Évora 1911 0-0 Oliveirense, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lusitano Évora 1911 2-2 Oliveirense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.7% | 35.4% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 30.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.0% | 34.4% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.20 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Lusitano Évora 1911 0–0 Oliveirense
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lusitano Évora 1911LDLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OliveirenseDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lusitano Évora 1911Oliveirense
26.7Attack38.9
53.3Defence61.1
33.3Form50.0
40.6Power53.0
0.91xG1.07