GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 10/1/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Shahaniya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lusail City are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Al Shahaniya are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Shahaniya hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 68.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Second Division, while Al Shahaniya holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Shahaniya

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Al Shahaniya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lusail CityLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Al ShahaniyaWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Lusail CityAl Shahaniya
38.5Attack61.5
41.0Defence61.5
15.4Form76.9
34.8Power68.9
0.86xG2.22
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