GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 10/31/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lusail City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lusail City are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Al-Sailiya are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Sailiya hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Second Division, while Lusail City holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lusail City

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Lusail City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lusail CityLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Al-SailiyaDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Lusail CityAl-Sailiya
38.5Attack43.6
41.0Defence38.5
15.4Form38.5
34.8Power43.1
1.48xG1.46
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