GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 11/9/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Mesaimeer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lusail City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al Mesaimeer are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDWD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Mesaimeer hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Second Division, while Al Mesaimeer holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Mesaimeer

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Al Mesaimeer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lusail CityLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al MesaimeerLDWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.50/2.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Lusail CityAl Mesaimeer
38.5Attack71.8
41.0Defence38.5
15.4Form53.8
34.8Power56.6
1.42xG2.51
View match centre →