Lundvs
Vänersborgs IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 4/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lund are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vänersborgs IF are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lund hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Ettan - Södra, while Lund holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00