Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lund are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tvååker are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lund hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Ettan - Södra, while Lund holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60