Lundvs
Trollhättan
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lund 4-3 Trollhättan
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 54.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 22.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.2% | 23.6% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LundLLLWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
TrollhättanDWWWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LundTrollhättan
61.1Attack54.2
62.5Defence54.2
55.6Form52.8
59.0Power54.9
1.83xG1.11