Ettan - SödraEttan - Södra
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 12:33
Lund

Lund

Home
W
21
Full time
Skövde AIK

Skövde AIK

Away
W
Klostergardens Idrottsplats
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Lund(64%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Lund
Win probability
Lund
64%
Draw
20%
Skövde AIK
16%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lund
73
Skövde AIK
94
Defence
Lund
66
Skövde AIK
27
Momentum
Lund
100
Skövde AIK
100
Danger (xG)
Lund
1.80
Skövde AIK
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Lund)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Skövde AIK)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Lund)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Skövde AIK)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LundLund
WWL
Skövde AIKSkövde AIK
LWDW

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Lund64%
Draw20%
Skövde AIK16%

Lund leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lund head into this in Ettan - Södra fixture at Klostergardens Idrottsplats in mixed form (W), while Skövde AIK arrive in mixed form (W). Lund have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Skövde AIK over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Lund (73/100) and Skövde AIK (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Lund have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Skövde AIK have won 2 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per away game.

Lund have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Lund to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Lund 6420%, Draw 1990%, Skövde AIK 1590%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Lund 1Draws 00 Skövde AIK
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Lund
W21
Skövde AIK

Recent form

Lund

Lund

W
vs Skövde AIK
27 Jun 2026
21
W
vs Utsikten
17 May 2026
50
L
@ Laholm
13 May 2026
34
Skövde AIK

Skövde AIK

L
@ Lund
27 Jun 2026
12
W
@ Lidköping
10 Jun 2026
32
D
@ Eskilsminne
17 May 2026
11
W
@ Utsikten
13 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lund vs Skövde AIK?

GoalVio's model predicts Lund to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lund vs Skövde AIK?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Lund vs Skövde AIK?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lund vs Skövde AIK?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more