Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lund are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rosengård are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosengård hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rosengård holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80