Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lund 7-1 Olympic
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.0% | 62.8% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 20.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.8% | 16.7% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LundWLDLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OlympicLDLWW
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LundOlympic
53.3Attack43.3
64.4Defence45.6
61.1Form38.9
61.0Power44.6
1.96xG0.80