Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nosaby are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lund hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lund holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
10.2%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60