Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lund 0-1 Laholm
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.4% | 46.1% | -19.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 20.0% | 26.7% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 14.6% | 27.2% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LundLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LaholmLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LundLaholm
50.0Attack22.2
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form77.8
68.0Power70.7
1.31xG1.03