Lundvs
Kristianstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lund 0-1 Kristianstad
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.2% | 50.6% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.9% | 25.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 17.9% | 23.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LundLWWDW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KristianstadWLDLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LundKristianstad
50.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
68.0Power15.3
1.81xG0.95