Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40