Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Renate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60