Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80