GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pro Patria are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Pro PatriaDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzanePro Patria
43.0Attack32.5
57.9Defence55.3
46.5Form40.4
50.8Power45.1
1.25xG0.74
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