Lumezzanevs
Pro Patria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/9/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lumezzane are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80