GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/3/2027, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PergoletteseDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzanePergolettese
43.0Attack38.6
57.9Defence56.1
46.5Form39.5
50.8Power45.8
1.23xG0.88
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