Lumezzanevs
Pergolettese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/3/2027, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60