Lumezzanevs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2025, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lumezzane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20