GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/29/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzanePergolettese
43.0Attack38.6
57.9Defence56.1
46.5Form39.5
50.8Power45.8
1.23xG0.88
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