GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneLLLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.75/4.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
PergoletteseWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
LumezzanePergolettese
43.0Attack38.6
57.9Defence56.1
46.5Form39.5
50.8Power45.8
1.23xG0.88
View match centre →