Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lumezzane are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00