Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lumezzane are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00