Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60