Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80