Lumezzanevs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lumezzane 1-0 Giana Erminio
Original prediction
Lumezzane
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.4% | 39.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 28.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.8% | 32.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40