Lumezzanevs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lumezzane are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00