Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lumezzane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Clodiense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80