Lumezzanevs
Caldiero Terme
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/30/2025, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lumezzane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40