Lumezzanevs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/22/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20