GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/4/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IILWLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzaneAtalanta II
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.57xG1.34
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