Lumezzanevs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lumezzane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60