GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
43.0Attack28.1
57.9Defence67.5
46.5Form38.6
50.8Power46.1
0.91xG0.64
View match centre →