GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/4/2024, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlessandriaDLLLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LumezzaneAlessandria
43.0Attack17.5
57.9Defence57.9
46.5Form20.2
50.8Power34.3
1.23xG0.53
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