Lumezzanevs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/10/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lumezzane 3-2 Albinoleffe
Original prediction
Lumezzane
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.0% | 38.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.9% | 28.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.2% | 32.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Lumezzane
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40