GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lumezzane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LumezzaneLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
AlbinoleffeWWLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LumezzaneAlbinoleffe
43.0Attack29.8
57.9Defence67.5
46.5Form39.5
50.8Power47.9
0.91xG0.68
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