GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 9/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luki-Energiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Luki-Energiya 2-1 Ural

Original prediction

Luki-Energiya

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8723.9%41.4%17.5 pts
Draw3.6525.4%27.3%2.0 pts
Away1.8250.8%31.2%-19.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

17.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Luki-Energiya

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Luki-EnergiyaWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UralWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Luki-EnergiyaUral
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence63.0
100.0Form40.7
89.7Power48.0
1.48xG0.75
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