Luki-Energiyavs
Spartak Moscow 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Luki-Energiya 1-0 Spartak Moscow 2, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Luki-Energiya 2-2 Spartak Moscow 2
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.8% | 63.0% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 23.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 6.16 | 14.8% | 13.3% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Luki-Energiya 1–0 Spartak Moscow 2
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40