Luki-Energiyavs
Iskra Smolensk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Luki-Energiya 2-0 Iskra Smolensk, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Luki-Energiya 2-1 Iskra Smolensk
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 64.5% | 54.4% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.6% | 25.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 6.65 | 13.9% | 20.4% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Projected Score
Luki-Energiya 2–0 Iskra Smolensk
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80